No, but as I said the other day, losing her home state by any amount would be a huge blow, more significant than the change in her delegate lead. And Bernie has been beating Hillary by heaps, more than what is needed to overtake her, though that doesn’t mean he can keep that up. But it doesn’t look like she’ll lose NY, so she’s really dodging a bullet.

Yeah, he’s doing well. He’s going to have to do a lot better though to get the nomination. The process of the Dems is much more representative than the GOP, which means he doesn’t just have to beat Clinton, he has to beat her by heaps. Trump’s complaining about the unfairness of the process, but as you know he doesn’t have to get much more than 50% of the votes to get all the delegates. Even if Sanders gets a win, he won’t catch up much on delegates.

Update: The most recent NY poll shows Bernie now 6% behind Hillary, 53-47%. This is down from an 18% gap ten days ago. Probably not enough time left to close it fully given there’s only two days left to the primary, and his campaign is positioning itself for a close loss. Looks like Hillary will live to fight another day. California looms ever larger.

I agree with that – it Bernie wins the popular vote I think the super delegates would flip to him because it would tear the party apart if they didn’t.

I said the other day there were only two possible ways the Reps could win this year, but this is a third. If Hillary loses the popular vote, but is selected as the nominee by the Dem establishment anyway, then all bets are off. The Dems would be saddling themselves with the same problem the Reps have if Trump wins. The super-delegates know this and are unlikely to hamper their nominee and Dems across the country in this way no matter how much they owe Hillary.

Hillary’s lead in regular delegates hit a high of 319, but has since dropped to 250. With about 1900 delegates still up for grabs, the advantage is still hers, but Bernie is totally in it. Hillary’s advantage has been that she is so well known, while Bernie was not, but as this changes, he does better. I read where the difference in several of the states that he lost was due to early voting only, that Bernie won among those who voted on the day, but not among those who voted before he’d been campaigning in the state. If all remaining states voted tomorrow, Hillary would win, but time is her real enemy here.

CNN and Fox are both saying in what I’ve seen so far today that both are dialling it back. Bill has apologized for his tirade against the BLM people yesterday too, it seems at Hillary’s instigation. Even though Sanders is doing much better than her lately in both votes and money raising, I’m still not sure she has much to worry about. The super-delegates will be pretty loyal because she’s been loyal to them over the years – campaigning and raising money for other candidates for years. Unless a lot of them flip, he can’t catch her. Sanders has been an independent until this election, so doesn’t have the same party support to call on. There’s much about Sanders’ campaign to be positive about, but he’ll have to do more before I’ll start believing he can win the nomination.

Yes, that’s the point, they have kept it reasonable until now. This intention to end that comes from the Clinton camp; it’s not an invention of Sanders’. If true, it shows desperation on Hillary’s part that could make it more difficult later for whoever is the nominee. Bernie rowed back on the “not qualified” crap right away. Will Hillary follow or keep going? She is worried because her lead in PA and CA is now only 6% and in NY has dropped from 48% to 18% in a month. I think if she loses her current home state of NY, it’s likely all over as the momentum will really go Bernie’s way. So I detect panic that could see her go very negative if that gap closes any further.

It just sounds to me like politics as usual. This article is written by a Sanders supporter so takes his pov. There are genuine criticisms to be made of Sanders’ policies, and he did stuff up when trying to describe how he would break up the banks – whether that was because he didn’t know or was having a bad day is another question. He’s also been going around saying Clinton isn’t qualified to be president, and had to walk that back today. All in all, I think both the Dems have kept it pretty reasonable.

Anyone think Hillary’s latest brilliant strategy to “Disqualify him, defeat him, and unify the party later” is going to help her?

http://www.commondreams.org/views/2016/04/07/disqualify-and-defeat-clinton-campaign-attacks-intensify-halt-sanders-win-streak

She can’t compete on policy and certainly not on who has the least political baggage, so she’s getting personal. I think it will only help Trump.

And ever downward we spiral.